Market consensus of analysts
Our consensus of analysts represents the average estimate of multiple independent financial and equity analysts following Equinor. We aggregate their forecasts on key metrics such as earnings and production estimates, helping investors to predict performance and providing a benchmark for comparing actual outcomes.
Analyst consensus
Every quarter ahead of the earnings announcement, we collect earnings and production estimates from the equity analysts covering the company. These numbers become a proxy for the market’s expectations of our results.
Closed Period
We voluntarily apply a ‘closed period’ before the results of a reporting period are announced. During the two-week period preceding the announcement, we limit our communications with the capital market and will not meet with capital market representatives.
4th quarter 2023 — Collected January 2023, 26 analysts provided input
In million USD |
|
---|---|
E&P Norway | 7328 |
E&P International | 585 |
E&P USA | 191 |
MMP | 461 |
REN | -90 |
Other | -13 |
Adjusted earnings before tax | 8462 |
Tax, E&P Norway | 5657 |
Tax, E&P International | 215 |
Tax E&P USA | 47 |
Tax, MMP | 228 |
Tax, REN | -9 |
Tax, Other | -3 |
Tax in total | 6136 |
Adjusted earnings after tax | 2326 |
Expensed exploration impacting EPN | 95 |
Expensed exploration impacting EPI | 94 |
Expensed exploration impacting EP USA | 119 |
mbd | |
Liquids production Norway | 652 |
Gas production Norway | 769 |
Liquids production EPI, equity | 316 |
Gas production EPI, equity | 40 |
Liquids production EP US, equity | 169 |
Gas production EP US, equity | 198 |
Total production, equity | 2144 |
PSA/royalty effect, EPI | 81 |
PSA/royalty effect, EP USA | 48 |
Total production, entitlement | 2015 |
Realized price EPN, liquids/bbl | USD 79.9 |
Realized price EPI, liquids/bbl | USD 69.1 |
Realized price EP USA, liquids/bbl | USD 66.1 |
Method: Consensus numbers for reporting segments, as well as tax and production items, represent the average of the inputs after deducting the highest and lowest value for each item. The consensus numbers for adjusted earnings (before tax) represents the sum of the consensus for reporting segments. Estimate for after tax earnings (adjusted) equals the consensus pre-tax number minus consensus for tax in total. Total equity production and entitlement production is the sum of the consensus items for production.